ÇETİN AY SAYS, "BOMBS ARE EXPLODING IN IRAN."

We are living in a time when America and Israel are bombing and being bombed by Iran. There is an open military war in the region. But the real question is what the bombing is actually changing on the ground.

Because bombing a country is one thing, bringing that country to its knees is another. History is full of examples of this. Large armies, large air forces, and trillion-dollar military budgets do not always guarantee victory.

If, after the first days of the war, there is still no clear picture showing that Iran's military capacity has been completely paralyzed, then there are questions to be asked.

Israeli journalist Alon Mizrahi puts it this way:

“We are witnessing history. Iran is striking American bases so comprehensively and decisively, surprising everyone, that the world is not prepared for it.”

According to Mizrahi, Iran has managed to shake the military balance in the region in just a few days. American bases in Bahrain, Kuwait, Qatar, and Saudi Arabia are structures built over decades and costing trillions of dollars. Despite this, there are claims that radar systems and military equipment worth hundreds of millions of dollars have been destroyed.

Another striking point is the flow of information. Remember the Iraq War. Every night, images of bombardments were broadcast, operations were shown to the world almost live. Today, there are not images with the same intensity.

This raises the question:

If the world's largest air force has truly established absolute superiority in Iranian airspace, then where are these images?

It is not easy to destroy the military capacity of a large country like Iran in a short time. Iran has been preparing for such a scenario for years and has moved a significant portion of its military infrastructure underground.

But there is a bigger aspect to the issue.

If America emerges from this struggle severely weakened, the impact will not be limited to Iran and America alone. This situation could also affect the future of NATO and the global balance of power. Because the backbone of NATO is America. If America falters, NATO falters as well.

And there is an increasingly palpable truth:

If America loses this match, the winner of the new order that will emerge will not be Iran.

The real issue is the changing world order.

The world has long been moving away from the unipolar American order. The rise of Asia, new economic blocs, and shifting power balances are signs of this.

In fact, some strategy circles are talking about three critical scenarios being discussed internally within the Pentagon.

First scenario: A protracted war. America cannot bring Iran to its knees quickly, and the war turns into a years-long struggle of attrition.

Second scenario: Regional expansion. The conflict will not be limited to Iran; the Persian Gulf and its surroundings will be dragged into a larger crisis.

Third scenario: A global power shift. If America emerges from this process severely weakened, the world could rapidly shift from a unipolar order to a multipolar power balance.

Perhaps as the world moves towards 2027, it will encounter a new reality:

The world will no longer be ruled by a single power.

The outcome of this war could determine not only Iran, but also the power balance of the 21st century.

Cetin Ay

President of BWA